Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 271.471608 306.711807 345.896035 392.895320 447.997297 510.866928 588.477433
2025-05-18 213.927079 258.646306 312.758085 383.815147 475.796994 592.423447 754.054384
2025-05-25 190.594554 241.000148 305.551880 395.786534 521.118587 692.839278 952.790011
2025-06-01 169.503278 221.792736 291.751764 394.480269 545.493875 766.076194 1126.037802
2025-06-08 151.351390 203.577330 275.979348 386.707303 557.434705 820.901816 1280.260387
2025-06-15 139.143031 191.864044 267.348262 387.193572 580.413465 894.627721 1479.015644
2025-06-22 126.622826 178.216473 254.092092 378.412017 586.625851 940.970290 1638.851272
2025-06-29 117.821691 169.095118 246.457246 377.133636 604.317394 1008.847785 1853.348176
2025-07-06 106.999073 155.893019 231.146952 361.334016 594.465950 1024.975924 1967.646485
2025-07-13 103.846330 154.239771 233.808488 375.790253 640.114703 1152.470402 2349.523273
2025-07-20 101.282935 153.230664 237.296279 391.895095 690.954001 1299.526195 2819.296774
2025-07-27 96.431861 148.070973 233.316081 393.992959 714.813280 1394.867701 3193.006278
2025-08-03 89.808978 139.627745 223.257562 384.221958 714.471238 1439.794895 3457.206923
2025-08-10 84.084596 132.312168 214.600266 376.259976 716.965796 1492.290228 3762.875257
2025-08-17 81.842822 130.763229 215.979625 387.846246 762.889600 1657.089979 4463.407956
2025-08-24 77.965038 126.062884 211.220959 386.582023 780.069087 1754.480764 4993.527061
2025-08-31 73.584131 120.169075 203.779254 378.998533 781.594901 1811.601269 5412.468638
2025-09-07 70.600637 116.581774 200.373769 379.473015 802.200565 1924.971358 6088.755828
2025-09-14 66.754671 111.179572 193.096779 370.905701 799.562655 1972.520016 6535.654212
2025-09-21 64.056692 107.728725 189.346975 369.658418 815.093750 2077.087120 7273.879613
2025-09-28 59.970289 101.458647 179.637956 354.241138 792.166890 2060.234380 7474.784362
2025-10-05 59.348142 101.674729 182.837119 368.347687 849.019248 2308.322288 9060.361800
2025-10-12 58.874801 102.135055 186.550030 384.059366 913.114647 2600.208928 11105.545254